Intrinsic Value Estimate and Buy Range

Shawn O’Malley and Daniel Mahncke break down Netflix (ticker: NFLX) and discuss whether the company has finally won the streaming wars. While growth looked challenged back in 2022, Netflix has proven resilient in the face of competition and economic slowdowns by leaning into advertising and password crackdowns, with much room left to run internationally.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:13:36 - How Netflix pivoted from mailing DVDs to streaming

00:14:48 - How Netflix killed Blockbuster

00:24:20 - Why the business works so well with two co-CEOs

00:46:25 - How being a first-mover got Netflix through the cash burn phase before any competition arose

00:48:29 - What Netflix is doing to sustain growth into the future

00:54:00 - What makes the company’s culture so legendary

01:04:18 - Why Netflix’s app just “works” better than the competition

01:18:03 - How to think about modeling NFLX’s intrinsic value

01:22:28 - Whether Shawn and Daniel add NFLX to their Intrinsic Value Portfolio

*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.

BOOKS AND RESOURCES

• The Investors Podcast Network is excited to debut a new community known as The Intrinsic Value Community for investors to learn, share ideas, network, and join calls with experts: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Sign up for the waitlist(!)⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠
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• Learn how to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠join us⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ in Omaha for the 2026 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting.
• Track The Intrinsic Value Portfolio.
• Shawn & Daniel use Fiscal.ai for every company they research — use their referral link to get started with a 15% discount!
• Value Investors Club pitch on NFLX.
• The Acquired podcast’s episode on Netflix.
• Business Breakdowns’ podcast on Netflix.
• Check out No Rules Rules by Reed Hastings & Erin Meyer.
• Netflix CEO Ted Sarandos on the future of entertainment.
• Check out our previous Intrinsic Value breakdowns: Transdigm, Salesforce, Berkshire Hathaway, FICO, PayPal, Uber, Nike, Amazon, Airbnb, Alphabet.
• Related ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠books⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ mentioned in the podcast.
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