Incentives Favor Denial Over Action

What if Bitcoin’s biggest strength becomes its fatal weakness? Nic Carter joins Bankless to unpack why the latest quantum papers changed the threat model, why a 2029 migration window could leave Bitcoin dangerously behind, what a real post-quantum transition would require, and why the fight over Satoshi’s dormant coins may become the most explosive governance battle in Bitcoin history.

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🎬 DEBRIEF | RYAN & DAVID UNPACKING THE EPISODE
https://www.bankless.com/podcast/debrief-bitcoin-has-3-years-to-survive-nic-carter

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Nic Carter’s Stark Warning
3:55 Bitcoin’s Status Quo Problem
9:36 The New Quantum Papers
12:07 When Breakthroughs Go Dark
16:28 “We will not get significant prior notice”
21:24 The 9-Minute Attack
31:33 Why 2029 suddenly matters
34:24 Post-Quantum Tradeoffs
46:03 Why Bitcoin Isn’t Reacting
52:21 The Satoshi coin problem
1:02:54 Nic’s salvage-law alternative
1:10:13 Why Ethereum looks more prepared
1:12:25 Does Bitcoin Survive?

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RESOURCES

Nic Carter
https://x.com/nic_carter

Nic’s takeaways from quantum papers
https://murmurationstwo.substack.com/p/my-takeaways-from-googles-and-oratomics

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