Macro risk: fuel shock triggering recession

Fuel accounts for roughly 20–30% of an airline’s operating costs—so when prices surge, the impact can be immediate and significant. In this week’s show, Gordon and Jay break down how U.S. airlines are navigating this historic spike and explore what it could mean for supply and demand. 

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Gordon Smith – ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ 

Jay Shabat – ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Meghna Maharishi - ⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠

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Approximate Time Stamps

00:36 Fuel Crisis Reality Check 01:59 JP Morgan Conference Setup 04:19 March Bad Luck Streak 05:23 Jet Fuel Spike Numbers 07:09 Fares Rising Demand Strong 09:49 Pulled Forward Bookings 13:43 Q1 Earnings and Weather 16:28 New Revenue Levers 18:03 Legacy vs LCC Pricing 19:33 Subscribe and Break Tease 20:17 IDEA Awards Introduction 21:08 Impact Over Scale 21:56 Finding Your Category 23:06 Quiz and Sample Forms 23:40 How to Submit 24:46 Awards Wrap and Next Topic 25:16 Why JP Morgan Matters 27:20 Delta Refinery Explained 31:25 American vs United O'Hare 35:19 Fuel Shock and Recession Risk 37:32 Volatility Is the New Normal