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Where Are We In The Macro Cycle? | Bob Elliott & Cameron Dawson

Inflection Point

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The Power of Earnings Valuations in a Recession

The earnings down cycle that we've seen today has been just driven by normalization of margins coming off of covid peaks. The next one is sentiment and it's positioning meaning that what happens is longer term reads on positioning get absolutely washed out. People mark estimates up but you're already at the high end of valuation ranges that you reach prior to the pandemic so it kind of it acts as a dampener on your potential simply because you're already extended.

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