The Odds of a Breakthrough in Science

Scott Zamost: What are the odds that any study in science or breakthrough in science is actually true? He asks, do we have any nerds here who say, oh my god, if that's true, that changes everything? It's probably not true. But hey, for about 10 minutes, I'm going to make you feel good that it might be true. "What are the odds when it's a breakthrough change civilization claim?" he says.