TIP801: Value Investing Meets Venture Capital w/ Kyle Grieve
We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network
MOIC Frames Asymmetric Portfolio Math
Kyle Grieve uses multiple on invested capital, hurdle rates, and hit-versus-miss analysis to assess asymmetry and target multibagger opportunities.
In today’s episode, Kyle Grieve discusses lessons from venture capital that long-term value investors can apply to improve decision-making. He explores concepts such as power laws, network effects, de-risking investments, and the importance of holding high-potential businesses.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:03:23 - How venture capital power laws shape investing returns and portfolio outcomes 00:06:19 - Why a tiny number of winners dominate most long-term investing results 00:08:41 - Why selling potential power-law winners early can severely damage portfolio performance 00:08:41 - How modest portfolio contributors can evolve into massive long-term winners 00:09:21 - Why accepting losses is the cost of capturing outsized investing returns 00:11:25 - How Moore’s Law and Metcalfe’s Law create powerful technology-driven investment opportunities 00:13:34 - Why investors should scale positions as businesses become progressively de-risked 00:25:41 - How unpopular or overlooked businesses can generate exceptional long-term investment returns 00:32:24 - Why averaging up in strong businesses can outperform traditional value strategies 00:57:06 - How long-horizon arbitrage allows investors to benefit from fundamental business improvement
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
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