Which Super Bowl Props Could Behave Differently

In this episode of Circle Back, the crew breaks down the worst betting trends people still blindly follow for the Super Bowl — from meaningless narratives and public angles to novelty bets that have zero edge. They dive into why bettors continue to hammer things like the coin toss in 2026, how trend-based thinking warps Super Bowl markets, and which “everyone knows this matters” angles actually don’t matter at all. The discussion also veers into Bill Belichick’s surprising Hall of Fame snub, what it says about how legacy is judged, and other gambling-world reactions, debates, and nonsense that popped up this week.

Circle Back is hosted by Jacob Gramegna and features Mike (Mr. PeanutBettor), Joey Knish, and Chinamaniac, host of the Gambling Chronicles podcast. Together, they react to betting culture, bad information, and the stories driving conversation across gambling Twitter and beyond.

📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos!

🟢 Check out Kalshi and get signed up today: https://kalshi.onelink.me/1r91/hammer

📊Scale with PRO. Apply for a Betstamp PRO Props Screen demo → https://betstamp.com/hammer

LINKS

🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer

✉️ Sign up for Kirk's Hammer: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/

🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/

SOCIALS

🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ

⬛ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq

🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/

FOLLOW

🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna

🔵 Follow Mike - https://x.com/mr_peanutbettor

🔵 Follow Knish - https://x.com/JoeyKnish22

🔵 Follow China - https://x.com/chinamaniac

OUR OTHER CHANNELS

🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ

🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ

📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ

SHOW INDEX

0:00 - Circle Back Friday with Jacob Gramegna, Mike aka Mr. PeanutBettor, Joey Knish and Chinamaniac

2:23 - Super Bowl betting trends (and why they don't work)

14:35 - Betting on the coin toss in 2026

23:59 - Getting the Seahawks at even money for the Super Bowl

29:38 - Was Bill Belichek really snubbed from the Hall of Fame?

40:14 - Reading your comments

56:11 - Vice's sports betting piece ft. Isaac Rose-Berman and Chris Dierkes

1:02:21 - "You're a loser who doesn't understand the math

1:08:29 - Interest-free loan or a bad use of money?

#SportsBetting #Betting #circleback #bettingtips #bettingstrategy #bettingstrategies #bettingadvice #gambling

Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions.

TITLE: The WORST Betting Trends People Still Follow For The Super Bowl | Presented by Kalshi

Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices