War, oil chokehold, and Iran strategy

Markets are hitting new highs, but crypto just took a major hit. Ryan and David break down the $300M KelpDAO exploit and why it exposed deeper flaws across DeFi and Layer 2s, including Arbitrum’s controversial decision to freeze funds. They also explore whether AI will drive deflation or inequality, unpack a new bullish ETH thesis, and debate why the biggest risks in crypto may be building beneath the surface.

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TIMESTAMPS & RESOURCES

0:00 Intro

1:57 Markets Still Bullish?

https://x.com/EricBalchunas/status/2047282771664453641

https://thewolfden.substack.com/p/strategy-owns-more-btc-than-blackrock

https://x.com/SecScottBessent/status/2046703137541837285

https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by/?via=bankless?

https://x.com/danielisdizzy/status/2047037188500554010 

https://x.com/MikeZaccardi/status/2045855067710914995

https://polymarket.com/event/kevin-warsh-confirmed-as-fed-chair-by-may-15/?via=bankless?

https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-629/?via=bankless?

https://x.com/ylecun/status/2045610129119117574

https://x.com/pdmsero/status/2046943519101661561

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2045675498529808886

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2046071375446606125

27:32 KelpDAO $300M Exploit & DeFi Fallout

https://www.galaxy.com/insights/research/kelpdao-layerzero-exploit-defi

https://defillama.com/protocol/aave-v3

https://x.com/LayerZero_Core/status/2046081551574983137

https://x.com/0xdoug/status/2045988844718453186

https://x.com/arbitrum/status/2046435443680346189

http://l2beat.com/scaling/projects/arbitrum

https://x.com/TheCryptoNexus/status/2046569510442787209

https://x.com/0xfluid/status/2046971208550486244

https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/spark

https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/aave

50:26 Productive Money ETH Thesis

https://thewolfden.substack.com/p/the-250k-eth-thesis-sounds-great

55:28 Prediction Markets & Perps Expansion & Tether $344M Freeze

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2046653304810156283/?via=bankless?

https://polymarket.com/perps/?via=bankless?

https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/2047017251270734309

https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-paris-on-april-23-2026/?via=bankless?

https://tether.io/news/tether-supports-freeze-of-more-than-344-million-in-usdt-in-coordination-with-ofac-and-u-s-law-enforcement

1:00:11 MegaETH & New Chain Activity

https://x.com/bread_/status/2047336293462589788

https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade

https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/monad

1:01:52 Device-Level KYC / Surveillance State

https://x.com/RyanSAdams/status/2044491861125996617

https://x.com/RyanSAdams/status/2045232433197695392

1:06:58 Closing & Disclaimers

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