Valuation Approach: DCF and Multiples

Today we are breaking down Games Workshop. This episode is another examination of the business of IP. Whether it's Disney, Electronic Arts, or Nintendo, there are so many businesses built around core IP. And while Games Workshop and its Warhammer franchise may not be as familiar to our North America listeners - this episode will tell you why that may be changing very soon.

My guest is Todd Wenning, President and CIO of KNA Capital. Todd shares his own personal story uncovering Games Workshop many years ago, he gets into the fun evolution of this business which ties into the vertical integration today, and he shares what lies ahead as awareness of Warhammer’s loyal enthusiasts welcome more into their world.

For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

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Timestamps 

(00:00:00) Welcome to Business Breakdowns

(00:03:55) Introduction to Games Workshop 

(00:05:31) History of the Warhammer IP 

(00:09:14) Games Workshop's Evolution 

(00:10:59) Warhammer Retail Stores 

(00:12:37) The Numbers Behind Warhammer's Popularity 

(00:14:03) Geographic and Demographic Concentration 

(00:16:36) Competition from Other Games & Hobbies 

(00:18:49) Events and Community: Hidden Network Effects 

(00:19:48) Margins and Cash Generation 

(00:21:31) Growth Drivers & Prime Potential 

(00:24:51) Licensing Model & Tariff Volatility 

(00:26:49) Why the Business is Defensible 

(00:28:33) The Relevance Risk 

(00:31:43) Games Workshop's Unique Flat Structure 

(00:32:52) Capital Allocation & Dividend Focus 

(00:34:16) Valuing Games Workshop 

(00:35:25) Three Man Risks for the Business 

(00:38:33) Riches in Niches & Other Lessons