Astral Codex Ten Podcast cover image

A Failure, but Not of Prediction

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

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Is Cryonics a Good Idea?

A surprising number of people had signed up for cryonics, the thing where you freeze your brain after you die. A control group with no interest in cryonics estimated a 15% chance. I think they were actually good at probabilistic reasoning. Making decisions is about more than just having beliefs - it's also about how you act on them.

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