How Many Red Flags Predict Collapse

What if you could spot the warning signs of a stock before it collapses? This week, we sit down with one of Australia’s leading quant investors, Dr. David Allen (Head of Long/Short Strategies at Plato Investment Management) to unpack the system behind 150 red flags and why just eight of them can signal serious trouble. From short selling to AI-driven investing, this episode is a masterclass in thinking like a machine.

In this episode:

0:00 Dave Allen’s investing journey

4:30 Measuring geopolitical risk

9:30 What is quant (and “quantamental”) investing?

14:30 Why growth forecasts can destroy returns

17:30 Using AI to analyse earnings calls

28:30 The red flags system explained

42:00 Current shorts + best companies

Stocks & ETFs mentioned in this episode: Plato Global Alpha Complex ETF (ASX: PGA1), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), Walmart (NYSE :WMT), Boss Energy (ASX: BOE), Guzman y Gomez (ASX: GYG), Corporate Travel Management (ASX: CTD), Treasury Wine Estates (ASX: TWE), Domino’s Pizza Enterprises (ASX: DMP), DroneShield (ASX: DRO), BrainChip (ASX: BRN), Mineral Resources (ASX: MIN)

Dave's Recommendations:

When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management by Roger Lowenstein – the story of Long-Term Capital Management and how even the smartest investors can blow up with too much leverage

Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game by Michael Lewis – using data to remove emotion and make better decisions (the blueprint for systematic investing)

Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message

And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.

———

Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.

Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)

We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis Points

• Listen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)
• Watch on YouTube
• Read the monthly email

———

Looking for some of our favourite research tools?

• Download our free Basics of ETF handbook
• Or our free 4-step stock checklist
• Find company information on TIKR
• Research reports from Good Research
• Track your portfolio with Sharesight

———

In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people

today.

———

Equity Mates Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.