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Ep. 250: Hersh Shefrin and Arvid Hoffmann Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

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The Importance of Technical Analysis in Predicting Market Moves

I agree with the idea that people using short term pattern recognition to predict market moves, there's just not much evidence for it. The whole data set of course shows infesters that are trading very, very actively making concentrated bets and specific stocks. But basically it doesn't lead to better returns for them. So they're not able to identify with their concentrated portfolios those stocks that are indeed undervalued or can give them access returns. Now there's no low-hanging fruit or free lunches and just stay with the index.

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