Deutsche study: how oil could trigger recession

Mentor Sessions Ep. 060: Senior Economist on Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, AI, Oil, and the Dollar Crisis Nobody Is Talking About | Prof Peter St Onge

The dollar took its biggest hit in 50 years — and most people have no idea it happened.

Professor Peter St. Onge (Heritage Foundation senior economist, Mises Institute fellow) breaks down exactly why freezing Russian central bank assets was a watershed moment for dollar dominance, what Fed panic over oil prices could do to the economy in 2026, and why Bitcoin is positioned to jump when the current geopolitical storm clears. This is the macro conversation you need to hear right now — no fluff, no hopium, just sharp analysis from one of the best macro minds following the intersection of money, geopolitics, and Bitcoin.

You'll walk away understanding why the petrodollar is under real structural pressure, how AI is being weaponized as a narrative tool by global institutions, and what signals to watch for in markets as war, inflation, and dollar credibility collide.

⏱️ Timestamps:

0:00 – Intro

1:01 – Petrodollar Greeting & Gold/Bitcoin Performance

2:00 – Bitcoin as Hot Money (“Tourists”)

5:35 – Oil Prices Driving Fed Rate Expectations

11:10 – What Happens to Bitcoin When the War Ends

12:35 – Lasting War Effects & Petrodollar Question

13:24 – Is the Petrodollar Actually Dying?

15:08 – Bitcoin as a “Lifeboat” / Dollar Alternatives

18:26 – Freezing Russian Assets – Biggest Dollar Hit in 50 Years

21:31 – Housing Crisis & Mortgage Lock-In

24:53 – The Single Biggest Risk: Fed Panic on Oil Prices

29:54 – QE, Money Printing & Fed Toolkit

38:19 – Kevin Warsh & Hard-Money Outlook

47:42 – Petrodollar Road Signs & Dollar Strength

52:00 – Stablecoins vs Wall Street Banks

54:23 – The WEF’s AI Job Loss Narrative

58:00 – AI, Jobs & The Escalator Effect

1:10:20 – Final Thoughts & Where to Find Peter

🔗 Links & Resources

→ Professor Peter St. Onge on X: https://x.com/profstonge

→ Heritage Foundation: https://www.heritage.org

→ Mises Institute: https://mises.org

→ BTC Mentor (1-on-1 Bitcoin guidance): https://btcmentor.io

→ Free Bitcoin Starter Guide: https://btcsessions.ca/learn

📌 Previous Episode: David Collum & Simon Dixon on the Iran War → https://youtu.be/yg13tat7bZo

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Previous Episodes with Simon on Iran: https://youtu.be/Z-i0C-CD1wA

Previous Episodes with Dave: https://youtu.be/tJ10JkReFrA

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