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Ep. 212: Daniel Kahneman Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

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The Role of Optimism in Entrepreneurship

When it comes to decision-making, being driven by possibility versus probability leaves us with some not great results often. And so when you're looking at entrepreneurial activity, it is we have argued largely driven by optimism. So in my view of risk takers, they are on the one hand, less of us, they hate to lose. But on the other hand, they're optimistic, quite often to a delusional degree,. They don't really know the true probability that they face of losing.

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