Top Five States Likely to Break Party Droughts

Chuck Todd predicts Trump will look for an offramp after his shocking "civilization will die" threat, noting that even in an era where people are numb to Trump's rhetoric, this particular statement genuinely rattled supporters and critics alike — yet only two elected Republicans have expressed even mild discomfort, which he calls unacceptable when a sitting president is openly threatening a war crime and behaving, in his words, like a terrorist thug. He then unpacks a blockbuster New York Times report detailing how Trump was talked into the Iran war, revealing that only two people in the entire decision-making process thought it was a good idea: Trump himself and Benjamin Netanyahu. The Times piece shows that Trump's own advisors tried to steer him away from the conflict, that JD Vance was privately against it, and that Netanyahu — who has spent years trying to get an American president to fight Iran on Israel's behalf, only to be rebuffed by Clinton, Bush, Obama, and Biden finally found his willing partner in Trump..

He then pivots to JD Vance campaigning in Europe on behalf of Hungarian dictator Viktor Orbán while trashing America's European allies — effectively siding with Putin in the Hungarian election and betraying the values America was founded on — and predicts it will be a generation before the U.S. is trusted on the world stage again. He closes with sharp analysis of the Virginia redistricting referendum, which he says is hurting Governor Abigail Spanberger politically by labeling her as "partisan" in ways she didn't earn, noting that Democrats would have picked up 2-3 Virginia seats without the aggressive redistricting push and that independent voters — already exhausted by partisan garbage — may punish Democrats for fighting fire with fire.

Finally, he gives his ToddCast Top 5 states most likely to end their 4 term one-party drought in the 2026 elections, and answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

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Timeline:

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

00:45 Trump will look for offramp after threatening civilizational destruction

01:30 People are numb to Trump, but this statement still shocked people

03:00 Only two elected Republicans have expressed discomfort 

05:30 When the president threatens a war crime, leaders need to speak out

06:45 Trump is behaving like a terrorist thug

08:00 Everybody saw Trump’s comment, even supporters are uncomfortable

09:15 NYT reporters release piece explaining how Trump was talked into war

10:45 Only two people thought war was a good idea: Trump & Netanyahu

12:00 Iran wanted to assassinate Trump, there’s personal animosity here

12:45 This war has NOT been in the best interest of the United States

13:30 Advisors to Trump tried to steer him away from war

14:30 NYT piece will make Trump nuts over “leaks”

16:00 Vance shown as against the war in the NYT piece

17:00 Trump is on an island over the war, even amongst his staff

18:00 Netanyahu made it sound like regime change would be easy

18:30 Bibi wanted a U.S. president to go to war for years, they all said no

19:15 Clinton, Bush, Obama and Biden all rebuffed Netanyahu

21:15 Biden shouted down Bibi as a liar

22:00 Bibi finally found a president willing to acquiesce in Trump

22:45 Bibi’s power in Israel comes from fear of the Iranians

23:45 This story will poison Israel’s reputation with the American public

25:30 NYT story should be more explosive, but Trump’s rhetoric stole headlines

27:00 Trump is advocating war crimes even if he doesn’t commit one

27:45 Trump has not brainwashed the public into thinking war is a good idea

28:45 Vance is campaigning on behalf of Hungarian dictator Viktor Orban

29:45 Vance is in Europe trashing America’s European allies

30:30 The U.S. is siding with Putin in Hungarian election, betraying our values

31:15 It’ll be a generation before America is trusted again on the world stage

33:45 America fought for independence against autocratic rule

35:00 Can Trump get a deal to open the Strait without embarrassing the U.S.?

36:00 Redistricting referendum in VA has hurt Abigail Spanberger politically

37:00 Yes on redistricting will win, but margins are narrow

39:15 Independent voters don’t like the partisan garbage, Dems could lose them

41:00 Spanberger is getting labeled as “partisan” in all the wrong ways

41:45 Democrats would have picked up 2-3 seats without redistricting

43:15 Voters will tire of either party governing in a too partisan manner

49:00 New episode of the “Dynastic” podcast available!

51:15 ToddCast Top 5 states that could end their 4 term one party droughts

53:15 #1 Iowa

53:45 #2 Ohio

56:00 #3 Georgia

57:45 #4 Alabama

1:00:00 #5 Texas

1:02:00 Honorable mentions

1:03:15 Ask Chuck

1:03:30 What would campaigning look like if the electoral college was abolished?

1:07:00 Is there any chance Republicans will find a way to remove Trump from office?

1:09:15 What’s with Hegseth ousting top generals? Are Geneva Conventions defunct?

1:11:30 Why haven’t Dems taken steps in court over War Powers?

1:14:00 Are all hopes of a two-state solution dead?

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