Analyzing Independent Voter Leanings and 2024 Election Projections

The chapter explores using estimates and exit poll data to determine how independent voters leaned in various states during the election, converting estimated percentage shares to vote totals for Trump and Biden. It delves into the current favorability rates of the candidates among independents and projects future election outcomes based on current data. Additionally, the chapter discusses detailed calculations for projecting total votes by state and potential electoral outcomes for the 2024 election.