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Ep. 236: Robin Hanson Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

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The Different Types of Prediction Markets

The premise of prediction markets is that you really don't know what's going to happen. The main customer in most financial markets is the trader who often wants to hedge risk and then want to speculate, he says. Most speculative markets create information and aggregate information but they're not the reason the market exists,. "Prediction markets are the same product with a different customer"

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