We explore a market caught between fragile stability and mounting geopolitical pressure, where central banks, energy shocks, and liquidity constraints collide in unpredictable ways.
Quinn and Felix break down the latest Fed meeting, shifting rate expectations, and how global energy disruptions in the Middle East are reshaping macro positioning and investor sentiment.
We cover energy shocks, policy paralysis, equity vulnerability, geographic imbalances, and why markets may be underestimating second-order effects across currencies, commodities, and risk assets. Enjoy!
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 Intro
04:12 Fed Meeting & Market Reaction
10:45 Foreign Central Bank Dilemma
14:40 Potential Export Ban & Downplaying Risks
18:55 Most Vulnerable Economies
22:08 Agriculture Complex & Financial Warfare
26:58 Ads (Arkham)
27:46 Russia Winning While the World Burns
29:58 Growth-Inflation Dilemma & Fragile Positioning
39:42 Transferring Vol, U.S Trade Balance
42:50 Risks to the U.S. & Global Domino Effect
48:07 Final Thoughts
FOLLOW THE SHOW
› Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp
› Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc
› Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance
› Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks
› Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx
EVENTS
› Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 in NYC (March 24–26)
› Use code FORWARD200 for $200off
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-nyc-2026
RESOURCES
› Weekly Roundup Charts – https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ARpAEgw6gVndjjSP2m882nsfMOkT4o68/view?usp=sharing
SPONSORS
› ARKHAM
Arkham isa crypto exchange and blockchain analytics platform. that allows traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds, and. most influential players in crypto — and act on that information.
Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks
Eligibility. varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.
DISCLAIMER
Nothing. said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
