
Ep. 515: Epic Trend Following Episode with Michael Covel
Michael Covel's Trend Following
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The Relationship Between Trend and Mean Revulsion
The use of Black Schol in 1987 is not a vivid example of how things can go wrong when wrong models are used. There's clearly a wide end to extrapolate past trends, and that's probably a way to extrapolate the motion of a tiger jumping on us or something that makes us alive today. So my intuition is that it's much harder to go against a trend than it is to follow the trend.
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