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Ep. 236: Robin Hanson Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

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The Importance of Scale in Prediction Markets

In prediction markets, traders are not looking at fundamental information. They're strictly treating this as a betting game and have to stop loss the narrative. You can probably find a lot of these biases or patterns that you can use to take advantage. It's just a matter of scale. The downside is that you just don't get paid as much for what you find because there's only so much money in those markets.

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