Timing, Buildup, and the Coup de Main Argument

The administration is reportedly considering seizing Kharg Island, and the global economy is beginning to buckle under the pressure of disrupted energy flows.

Eric Robinson is a lawyer now who worked in NCTC, a veteran of Joint Special Operations Command. He joins Second Breakfast regulars Bryan Clark, Tony Stark, and Justin McIntosh to break down the military and strategic realities of America's latest Middle Eastern war.

We discuss…

• The Kharg Island fantasy and why a coup de main three weeks too late is a recipe for catastrophe

• "How are you going to take Kharg Island? You have no ships in the Persian Gulf."

• Why "lethality maxim" is not a theory of victory and the Iranians know it

• "A focus on a gunfight is why we're in this strategic mess to begin with. There's no amount of successful engagements that will become strategically meaningful if you don't have a vision of victory."

• The NCTC resignation, its anti-Semitic undertones, and the hollowing out of American counterterrorism infrastructure

• "An institution that was designed to fix the leaks that gave rise to 9/11, staffed with extraordinary analytic capacity, started chasing the Sinaloa cartel."

• Whether Iran can strike the US homeland — and why the dog hasn't barked

• "Did we build a titanium golem that was really a clay monster? Did we dramatically overestimate this operational capacity?"

• The naval escort nightmare: how keeping the Strait open would consume the entire destroyer fleet and gut Pacific deterrence

• "If you do this escort operation, it's going to take every available destroyer on the East Coast and in Europe for the duration."

• DHS corruption, Corey Lewandowski's hundreds of millions, and why American grift has graduated to a new level

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