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Ep. 377: Annie Duke Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

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The Importance of Thinking Probabilistically

If you're going to be a good decision maker, you really have to be thinking probabilistically. One branch of that tree is not 100% even though it might sort of feel that way. When your son was going in for his driving test, he declared 100% on passing it and I actually had to think a little bit better about what the chances were.

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