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Ep. 504: Jim Rickards Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

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The Benefits of Bayesian Statistics

Michael Hayden: There's a foundation for how this is all unfolding. He says there are two major schools of statistics, frequentist and efficient market theory. The frequentist school requires lots of data to make an educated guess about the future; Bayesian uses less data but still makes good guesses. Hayden: What could we learn from insider trading ahead of 9-11? We couldn't sit there and wait for 10 more attacks. That's what frequentists do.

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