Is It a Telefer Cognitive Distinction?

"I'll bet everyone here believes their own predictions about the pandemic were 80% or better right," he says. "It's a telefer cognitive distance because if somebody's an expert at something and says something that's clearly completely ridiculous within their own profession, there's no scientist that would agree with that." He then asks his co-hosts to show him how they got it wrong by looking at four key variables in evolutionary biology through different lenses. 'If you knew evolutionary biology, you could look at these four things' -- Scott - "but I'm just making this up, right?"