The Margin of Air Is a Big Factor in Our Polls Tonight

Polls will be released tonight at six o'clock eastern. Polls are based on a margin of air, which means that both sides can move higher or lower than 6 points. A poll earlier today from pennsylvania had trump off half a point in ohio an election day one by eight one by eight which is outside the margin of air for that poll. The new york times in 2020 had trump offhalf a point inohio an electionday one by eight and two other ways to get 50 percent would have been more accurate.