Navigating Adverse Selection in Betting Markets

We are joined by Chris "Flupnolide" Dierkes - the most profitable bettor on Kalshi this month and a professional bettor not afraid to bet huge on great spots.

Chris talks about scaling his betting from being a solo-bettor using OddsJam to running one of the bigger groups in operation. He also enjoys mixing it up on Twitter under the handle @flupnolide where you can find him posting some of the biggest bets that hit the exchanges. 

If you don't listen to this episode you must not like putting down big money on huge edges!

Chris on Twitter: https://x.com/flupnolide

0:00 Intro & Start of Betting
11:30 Rundown of Flup's Operation
22:00 Flup's Superpower: Account Priming
39:00 Benefit of Winning Circa Survivor
44:45 Why do content?
53:45 $300k Sinner Bet
1:00:00 Gambling Twitter 0 Poker IQ
1:06:00 Edge Graveyard
1:29:00 Everything Prediction Markets
2:05:00 Hot Takes & Bayesian Updates

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

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