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"It's 2021 All Over Again" | Jim Bianco

Inflection Point

00:00

Is the Yield Curve Projecting a Recession?

The yield curve is most commonly looked at when deciding whether or not it's leading a recession. It leads by an average of about 10 months, which means that if we have a recession on average, that would start in late September. But what if the recession doesn't start for another 13 or 14 months? What if the economy stays okay for 10 to 12 more months? Does this market have the patience to continue to wait out a slowdown and a Fed pivot?"

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