Ep. 514: Epic Behavioral Episode with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Michael Covel's Trend Following
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The Power of Forecasting
The good judgment project was successful in recruiting very good forecasters but also developing methods of training them. They were able to beat US intelligence analysts at their own game. The bureaucracy 101 tells aspiring bureaucrats never sponsor something that has the potential to be embarrassing and come back and bite you in the butt. I offer this upstart agency had the temerity to do that it was as if Goliath took David aside and said here's some money and try to develop a good swing shot.
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