Oil: Short-Term Breakout Versus Long-Term Downtrend

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Chris Vermeulen to the show. Chris Vermeulen is Founder & Chief Investment Officer, The Technical Traders. In this episode, Vermeulen provides a comprehensive insights into the current market landscape, focusing primarily on precious metals, equities, and broader economic trends. Regarding precious metals, Vermeulen describes the recent market as experiencing significant volatility, with gold and silver experiencing a massive rally followed by a sharp correction. He notes that while long-term trends remain bullish, short-term signals are mixed and uncertain. The market is currently in a “no man’s land” where investors are waiting to see whether metals will consolidate and launch another rally or experience a substantial pullback.

On equities, Vermeulen indicates that markets are precariously balanced. The S&P 500 is “clinging by a thread” to an uptrend, with the Nasdaq showing potential signs of breakdown. He observes that “smart money” is moving into defensive sectors like utilities and consumer staples, suggesting underlying market nervousness. Vermeulen’s investment approach emphasizes technical analysis and following price trends rather than attempting to predict exact market tops and bottoms. Currently, his strategy involves maintaining approximately 70% cash position and waiting for clearer market signals. He believes the market is primed for significant movement, whether upward or downward.

Regarding currencies, Vermeulen remains bullish on the US dollar, suggesting it could potentially rally 10-15%, which would put pressure on gold prices. He also highlights the importance of understanding currency movements as part of a comprehensive investment strategy. When discussing other asset classes like oil, copper, and uranium, Vermeulen sees similar patterns of uncertainty and consolidation. His overall message is one of patience: waiting for clear trends to emerge before committing capital, and prioritizing capital preservation over aggressive speculation.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 – Introduction
00:00:53 – Precious Metals Volatility Drivers
00:02:42 – Sector Upside Potential
00:05:42 – Technical Trading Philosophy
00:08:34 – 2007 Market Comparison
00:10:11 – Silver Leverage Play
00:14:03 – Fiat and Manipulation Concerns
00:16:32 – US Dollar Outlook
00:20:32 – Equities Market Trends
00:24:08 – Miners Lagging Analysis
00:25:49 – Oil Prices Update
00:29:25 – Copper Uranium Rundown
00:30:44 – Technical Traders Service
00:31:51 – Concluding Thoughts

Guest Links:
Website: https://thetechnicaltraders.com/
X: https://x.com/TheTechTraders

Chris Vermeulen is the Founder & Chief Investment Officer of The Technical Traders and the visionary mind behind Asset Revesting. In his book Asset Revesting – How to Exclusively Hold Assets Rising in Value, Profit During Bear Markets, and Continue Building Wealth in Retirement, he lays out this investment framework.

Chris launched his financial career at 16, parlaying his knack for trading and risk management into funding his final year of college, where he earned a business diploma in operations management. By his twenties, he had achieved financial independence as a full-time entrepreneur and trader. After a setback—blowing up a trading account—Chris dedicated himself to treating trading as a business, completing the Trading Strategy Mastery and Trading Is Your Business courses.

A technical analysis expert, he devises systematic methods to spot market opportunities and control portfolio risk, rejecting traditional buy-and-hold approaches that cling to depreciating assets. His efficient asset allocation models balance short- and long-term strategies to minimize drawdowns and consistently outperform benchmarks. Those seeking reliable capital preservation and growth turn to his proven techniques.