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The crew reacts to one of the strangest betting markets in recent UFC memory, breaking down the suspicious line movement in the Michael Johnson vs Drew Dober fight and why so many bettors immediately questioned what was happening. Was it sharp action, bad numbers from sportsbooks, or something even stranger? The panel dives into how the market moved, why it raised eyebrows across gambling Twitter, and what bettors should actually take away from situations like this. They also discuss whether sports bettors truly need projections or models to succeed, when gambling is actually the most fun for bettors, and other stories from the week in betting.

Circle Back is hosted by Jacob Gramegna and features professional sports bettor and CEO of The Hammer, Rob Pizzola, basketball originator Kirk Evans, and sophisticated square Geoff Fienberg. The group reacts to the biggest conversations across the betting world each week — from market drama and industry controversies to betting strategy debates and everything in between.

📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos!

🟢 Check out Kalshi and get signed up today: https://kalshi.onelink.me/1r91/hammer

📊 Building in prediction markets? Get your trial API key for unified prediction market and sportsbook data: https://bit.ly/4blx5BR

LINKS

🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer

✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/

🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/

SOCIALS

🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ

⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq

🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/

FOLLOW

🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola

🔵 Follow Kirk - https://x.com/KirkEvans0

🔵 Follow Geoff - https://x.com/gfienberg17

🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna

OUR OTHER CHANNELS

🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ

🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ

📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ

SHOW INDEX

0:00 - Circle Back w/ Rob Pizzola, Kirk Evans, Geoff Fienberg and Jacob Gramegna

13:28 - Was this UFC fight rigged?

26:17 - The evolution of RFQs

32:43 - Do bettors need projections to be successful?

42:53 - "Verified sharp action"

54:30 - Reading your comments

1:11:42 - How many bettors are pulling in $500k+?

1:17:52 - The best financial state to be in for gambling

#SportsBetting #Betting #circleback #bettingtips #bettingstrategy #bettingstrategies #bettingadvice #gambling

Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions.

Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.

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