Byron Wien's Top Surprises for Next Year

Byron Wien used to do his top surprises for next year he defined a surprise as something the market has assigned a less than one third chance of happening but he thinks there's a greater than 50-50 chance. So I will say that a surprise I'll actually I'll give you two surprises. One is that the next so next year when we have the presidential election I think the president won't be named Trump Biden or Decentis. The second one is that I think there is definitely a much larger well certainly much larger than a third but I guess the definition is needs to be more than 50% probability that there actually ends up being a recession next year. Okay and what advice