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Episode 2187 Scott Adams: I Can't Mention The Top Story Today In The Title Because

Real Coffee with Scott Adams

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The 50-50 Odds of a Coin Flip

There's one scientific paper that makes a claim, and it's not yet peer-reviewed. How likely is it to be true? No more than 50%. That's a historic norm. A new paper, about half the time you can't reproduce it. But just getting somebody to say "it looks like you did real science" doesn't add any credibility.

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